Ku ya 5 Ukuboza, ejo hazaza h’amavuta ya peteroli yagabanutse ku buryo bugaragara.Igiciro cyo kwishura amasezerano nyamukuru y’amavuta ya peteroli yo muri Amerika WTI yari 76.93 US $ / barrel, yagabanutseho 3.05 US $ cyangwa 3.8%.Igiciro cyo kwishura amasezerano yingenzi ya peteroli ya Brent ya peteroli yari 82.68 $ / barrale, yagabanutseho amadorari 2.89 cyangwa 3.4%.
Igabanuka rikabije ryibiciro bya peteroli bihungabanywa cyane na macro negative
Ubwiyongere butunguranye bw’Amerika ISM idakora inganda mu Gushyingo, bwashyizwe ahagaragara ku wa mbere, bugaragaza ko ubukungu bw’imbere mu gihugu bukomeje guhangana.Iterambere ry’ubukungu rikomeje gutera impungenge ku isoko ry’uko Banki nkuru y’igihugu iva kuri “inuma” ikajya kuri “kagoma”, ibyo bikaba bishobora gutenguha icyifuzo cya Banki nkuru y’igihugu cyo kugabanya umuvuduko w’izamuka ry’inyungu.Isoko ritanga ishingiro rya Banki nkuru yigihugu kugirango igabanye ifaranga kandi ikomeze inzira yo kugabanya ifaranga.Ibi byatumye igabanuka rusange ryumutungo ushobora guteza akaga.Ibipimo bitatu byingenzi by’imigabane muri Amerika byose byafunzwe cyane, mu gihe Dow yagabanutseho amanota 500.Amavuta mpuzamahanga ya peteroli yagabanutse hejuru ya 3%.
Igiciro cya peteroli kizajya he mugihe kizaza?
OPEC yagize uruhare runini muguhuza uruhande rutanga
Ku ya 4 Ukuboza, Umuryango w’ibihugu byohereza peteroli mu mahanga hamwe n’abafatanyabikorwa bayo (OPEC +) bakoze inama ya 34 y’abaminisitiri kuri interineti.Inama yemeje ko intego yo kugabanya umusaruro yashyizweho mu nama ya minisitiri iheruka (5 Ukwakira), ni ukuvuga kugabanya umusaruro wa miriyoni 2 kuri buri munsi.Igipimo cyo kugabanya umusaruro gihwanye na 2% yikigereranyo cya peteroli ya buri munsi ku isi.Iki cyemezo kijyanye nibiteganijwe ku isoko kandi binashimangira isoko ryibanze ryisoko rya peteroli.Kuberako ibyateganijwe ku isoko ari ntege nke, niba politiki ya OPEC + irekuye, isoko rya peteroli rishobora gusenyuka.
Ingaruka zo guhagarika peteroli y’ubumwe bw’ibihugu by’Uburusiya zikeneye gukurikiranwa
Ku ya 5 Ukuboza, ibihano by’Umuryango w’ubumwe bw’ibihugu by’Uburusiya byoherezwa mu mahanga n’amavuta yo mu nyanja y’Uburusiya byatangiye gukurikizwa, kandi igipimo cyo hejuru cy’ibiciro ntarengwa cyagenwe $ 60.Muri icyo gihe, Minisitiri w’intebe w’Uburusiya Novak yavuze ko Uburusiya butohereza ibicuruzwa bya peteroli na peteroli mu bihugu bishyiraho Uburusiya, kandi agaragaza ko Uburusiya butegura ingamba zo guhangana, bivuze ko Uburusiya bushobora kugira ibyago byo kugabanya umusaruro.
Ukurikije uko isoko ryifashe, iki cyemezo gishobora kuzana amakuru mabi yigihe gito, gikeneye gukurikiranwa mugihe kirekire.Mubyukuri, igiciro cyubucuruzi bwa peteroli ya Ural yu Burusiya yegereye uru rwego, ndetse n’ibyambu bimwe biri munsi yuru rwego.Dufatiye kuri iyi ngingo, ibiteganijwe gutangwa mu gihe gito bifite impinduka nke kandi ni bike ku isoko rya peteroli.Icyakora, urebye ko ibihano birimo ubwishingizi, ubwikorezi n’izindi serivisi mu Burayi, ibyoherezwa mu Burusiya bishobora guhura n’ingaruka nyinshi mu gihe giciriritse ndetse n’igihe kirekire kubera ikibazo cy’ibikoresho bitangwa na tanker.Byongeye kandi, niba igiciro cya peteroli kiri kumuyoboro uzamuka mugihe kiri imbere, ingamba zo guhangana n’Uburusiya zishobora gutuma igabanuka ry’ibiteganijwe gutangwa, kandi hari impungenge ko peteroli izamuka cyane.
Muri make, isoko mpuzamahanga ya peteroli iriho iracyari mubikorwa byo gutanga no gukinisha.Birashobora kuvugwa ko hariho "resistance hejuru" na "inkunga hepfo".By'umwihariko, uruhande rutanga isoko rwahungabanijwe na politiki ya OPEC + yo guhindura igihe icyo ari cyo cyose, ndetse n’uruhererekane rw’uruhererekane rwatewe n’ibihano byoherezwa mu mahanga by’ibihugu by’Uburayi n’Amerika byafatiwe Uburusiya, kandi ingaruka z’ibicuruzwa n’ibihinduka biriyongera.Ibisabwa biracyibanda cyane ku gutegereza ubukungu bwifashe nabi, bikaba bikiri ibintu nyamukuru bigabanya ibiciro bya peteroli.Ikigo cy’ubucuruzi cyizera ko kizakomeza guhungabana mu gihe gito.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Ukuboza-06-2022